Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Roy 48.9% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
Roy 62.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 56.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kastelic
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
49.5% (746)
+7.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.7% (75)
+49.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
42.7% (110)
+57.3%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Kastelic shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Roy
Home
54.8% (73)
47.7% (491)
Away
63.8% (47)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Kastelic
Roy
P1
50.0%
51.1%
P2
62.5%
44.6%
P3
60.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%