Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Roy 48.3% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 59.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 79.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 64.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Kastelic
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kastelic
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
48.3% (633)
+9.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
52.1% (48)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
43.7% (87)
+7.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kastelic is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Kastelic shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Roy
Home
64.9% (265)
50.8% (376)
Away
50.5% (325)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Kastelic
Roy
P1
58.5%
53.8%
P2
55.6%
43.5%
P3
56.8%
46.4%
Final 5 min
62.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |