Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.0%). Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Faksa 55.1% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Faksa 63.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 63.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kastelic
Faksa
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
56.7% (413)
+1.3%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
56.3% (16)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
53.7% (123)
-2.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Kastelic shoots right. Faksa is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Faksa
Home
64.9% (265)
56.3% (261)
Away
50.5% (325)
55.7% (291)
By Period
Kastelic
Faksa
P1
58.5%
58.6%
P2
55.6%
55.0%
P3
56.8%
55.0%
Final 5 min
62.6%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%