Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Faksa 56.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Faksa 72.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 67.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 67.3%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Kastelic
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kastelic
Faksa
Last 6: Kastelic 5-1 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
1
Kastelic
Faksa
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
56.9% (671)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
85.7% (7)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
55.0% (80)
-19.7%
On power play, Faksa has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Faksa is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Faksa
Home
50.6% (162)
59.5% (375)
Away
57.4% (204)
54.6% (383)
By Period
Kastelic
Faksa
P1
61.5%
61.2%
P2
52.8%
54.5%
P3
50.0%
55.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |