Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.4%). Kastelic wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Faksa 53.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 61.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 66.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 51.9%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Kastelic
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kastelic
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
56.4% (401)
-3.0%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
77.8% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
45.5% (110)
+29.5%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Kastelic shoots right. Faksa is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Faksa
Home
56.2% (162)
49.0% (249)
Away
52.9% (187)
59.4% (271)
By Period
Kastelic
Faksa
P1
58.2%
58.2%
P2
58.8%
53.6%
P3
45.4%
52.4%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 04:54 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |