Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 53.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 52.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Kastelic
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
48.9% (352)
+7.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
81.3% (16)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
42.2% (45)
+57.8%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +57.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Kastelic shoots right. Carrick is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Carrick
Home
54.8% (73)
46.9% (192)
Away
63.8% (47)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Kastelic
Carrick
P1
50.0%
48.1%
P2
62.5%
50.0%
P3
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%