Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.2%). Kastelic wins 65.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Carrick 53.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 54.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 51.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Kastelic
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kastelic
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
53.8% (654)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
63.9% (36)
-28.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kastelic is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Kastelic shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Carrick
Home
50.6% (162)
50.0% (328)
Away
57.4% (204)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Kastelic
Carrick
P1
61.5%
56.7%
P2
52.8%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |