Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 55.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 54.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Kastelic
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
49.2% (307)
+8.8%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
66.7% (6)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
48.2% (56)
+2.7%
On even strength, Kastelic has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kastelic is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Kastelic shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Carrick
Home
64.9% (265)
50.3% (175)
Away
50.5% (325)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Kastelic
Carrick
P1
58.5%
41.0%
P2
55.6%
51.2%
P3
56.8%
55.3%
Final 5 min
62.6%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%