Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Couturier 54.5% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Couturier 58.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 62.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 54.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Kastelic
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
57.4% (303)
-0.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
65.5% (55)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
40.0% (70)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Kastelic shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Couturier
Home
54.8% (73)
54.3% (219)
Away
63.8% (47)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Kastelic
Couturier
P1
50.0%
53.2%
P2
62.5%
54.8%
P3
60.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%