Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Couturier 55.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 71.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 56.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Kastelic
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Kastelic
Couturier
Last 10: Kastelic 1-9 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Kastelic
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Kastelic
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Kastelic
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
55.1% (1,008)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
64.1% (142)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
53.3% (45)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Couturier
Home
50.6% (162)
58.1% (609)
Away
57.4% (204)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Kastelic
Couturier
P1
61.5%
55.3%
P2
52.8%
55.8%
P3
50.0%
57.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |