Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Scheifele 43.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 70.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 69.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Coyle
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Scheifele
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Scheifele
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
42.3% (938)
+4.3%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
50.0% (168)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
26.8% (41)
+63.2%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Coyle is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Coyle shoots right. Scheifele is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Coyle
Scheifele
Home
50.4% (367)
43.1% (569)
Away
42.5% (351)
42.7% (579)
By Period
Coyle
Scheifele
P1
46.8%
45.3%
P2
47.9%
38.6%
P3
45.9%
44.1%
OT
14.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |