Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 46.3%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.4% vs Scheifele 46.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 67.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Coyle
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coyle
Scheifele
Last 7: Coyle 5-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (603)
46.0% (1,277)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.9% (55)
50.4% (339)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
37.5% (120)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Coyle is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Coyle shoots right. Scheifele is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Coyle
Scheifele
Home
45.6% (373)
49.0% (836)
Away
46.2% (329)
43.7% (900)
By Period
Coyle
Scheifele
P1
45.9%
46.4%
P2
46.4%
46.0%
P3
45.5%
46.9%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |