Mark Scheifele vs Nathan MacKinnon
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 44.6% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 70.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 75.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
0
Scheifele
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
2
Scheifele
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (943)
48.2% (849)
-3.7%
Power Play
42.2% (180)
51.0% (151)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
44.7% (47)
-0.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Scheifele is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Scheifele shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Home
47.4% (549)
51.2% (521)
Away
41.3% (617)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Scheifele
MacKinnon
P1
43.7%
49.9%
P2
44.5%
48.0%
P3
43.8%
47.9%
OT
56.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
44.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |