Mark Scheifele vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 56.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 68.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
2
Scheifele
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Scheifele
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
8
Scheifele
MacKinnon
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
45.5% (1,190)
+2.6%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
56.4% (94)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
40.0% (30)
+4.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Home
52.7% (630)
47.8% (670)
Away
43.5% (623)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Scheifele
MacKinnon
P1
50.3%
45.3%
P2
46.8%
48.5%
P3
47.5%
45.0%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |