Mark Scheifele vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 78.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Last 6: Scheifele 2-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Scheifele
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Scheifele
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
44.7% (1,053)
+3.1%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
36.8% (95)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
65.0% (20)
-4.3%
On power play, Scheifele has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Home
50.7% (611)
49.4% (553)
Away
45.1% (596)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Scheifele
MacKinnon
P1
51.4%
45.3%
P2
47.3%
42.7%
P3
45.0%
45.1%
OT
53.8%
46.2%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |