Mark Scheifele vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.9%). Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Scheifele wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
16
(22 meetings)
6
16
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
6
Scheifele
MacKinnon
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
8
Scheifele
MacKinnon
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Scheifele
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
49.2% (1,266)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
54.9% (193)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
49.1% (55)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Scheifele shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Home
50.0% (672)
50.9% (740)
Away
48.8% (596)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Scheifele
MacKinnon
P1
51.4%
50.9%
P2
45.1%
51.8%
P3
51.9%
47.1%
OT
58.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |