Mark Scheifele vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.8%). Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 48 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 83-80 in 163 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
83
-
80
(163 meetings)
83
80
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
29
22
Scheifele
MacKinnon
51 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
17
31
Scheifele
MacKinnon
48 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
37
27
Scheifele
MacKinnon
64 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
46.1% (11,218)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
53.3% (1,412)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
42.8% (502)
-1.2%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Scheifele
MacKinnon
Home
48.9% (7,644)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Scheifele
MacKinnon
P1
48.2%
47.4%
P2
45.6%
46.6%
P3
46.8%
46.1%
OT
42.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |