Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Cates 40.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 85.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 62.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 68.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Scheifele
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Scheifele
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Scheifele
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
40.4% (841)
+7.4%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
42.4% (66)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
32.7% (147)
+28.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Scheifele shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Cates
Home
50.7% (611)
38.2% (566)
Away
45.1% (596)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Scheifele
Cates
P1
51.4%
40.5%
P2
47.3%
42.4%
P3
45.0%
35.3%
OT
53.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.7%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |