Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Cates 45.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 92.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 60.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 60.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Scheifele
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Scheifele
Cates
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
2
Scheifele
Cates
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
2
3
Scheifele
Cates
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
46.7% (912)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
33.9% (56)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
35.0% (137)
+8.2%
On power play, Scheifele has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Cates
Home
50.0% (672)
46.1% (521)
Away
48.8% (596)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Scheifele
Cates
P1
51.4%
48.0%
P2
45.1%
42.3%
P3
51.9%
44.3%
OT
58.3%
31.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OT | 01:58 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |