Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Hartman 45.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 63.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Scheifele
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Scheifele
Hartman
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Scheifele
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
1
Scheifele
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
44.8% (830)
+1.7%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
47.8% (92)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Scheifele shoots right. Hartman is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hartman
Home
46.2% (571)
45.0% (515)
Away
47.7% (535)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Scheifele
Hartman
P1
51.9%
46.5%
P2
45.6%
39.9%
P3
43.9%
48.6%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |