Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 24-19 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 52.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 71.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 61.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Scheifele
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
24
(43 meetings)
19
24
Scheifele
Hartman
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
6
8
Scheifele
Hartman
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
10
Scheifele
Hartman
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
13
6
Scheifele
Hartman
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
45.2% (4,235)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
47.4% (443)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
42.4% (262)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hartman
Home
48.9% (7,644)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Scheifele
Hartman
P1
48.2%
46.0%
P2
45.6%
42.9%
P3
46.8%
46.8%
OT
42.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
45.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |