Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Hartman 48.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 65.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 73.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Scheifele
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Scheifele
Hartman
Last 8: Scheifele 4-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Scheifele
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Scheifele
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
48.1% (520)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
44.7% (47)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
47.8% (23)
-4.6%
On power play, Scheifele has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Scheifele shoots right. Hartman is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hartman
Home
50.0% (672)
48.3% (360)
Away
48.8% (596)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Scheifele
Hartman
P1
51.4%
48.5%
P2
45.1%
45.2%
P3
51.9%
49.6%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |