Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Hartman 47.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 66.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 69.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Scheifele
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Scheifele
Hartman
Last 8: Scheifele 3-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
4
Scheifele
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Scheifele
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
47.1% (649)
+1.0%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
47.1% (68)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
45.2% (73)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hartman
Home
52.7% (630)
46.5% (361)
Away
43.5% (623)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Scheifele
Hartman
P1
50.3%
45.1%
P2
46.8%
44.4%
P3
47.5%
50.9%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |