Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Hartman 44.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 60.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 70.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Scheifele
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Scheifele
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Scheifele
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
42.6% (495)
+5.2%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
38.5% (26)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
48.8% (43)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hartman
Home
50.7% (611)
43.4% (288)
Away
45.1% (596)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Scheifele
Hartman
P1
51.4%
43.1%
P2
47.3%
43.4%
P3
45.0%
42.0%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |