Mark Scheifele vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 46.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (674)
47.6% (189)
-1.6%
Power Play
46.2% (119)
100.0% (2)
-53.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
29.4% (17)
+18.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Scheifele shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.8% (426)
48.5% (132)
Away
47.5% (417)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.4%
51.4%
P2
43.3%
41.3%
P3
42.3%
48.5%
OT
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |