Mark Scheifele vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
47.6% (231)
-1.1%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
83.3% (12)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
33.3% (21)
+16.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.2% (571)
51.2% (164)
Away
47.7% (535)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.9%
50.0%
P2
45.6%
46.2%
P3
43.9%
49.5%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |