Mark Scheifele vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 34 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 61-57 in 118 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 54.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
61
(118 meetings)
57
61
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
24
17
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
11
23
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
22
21
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
43 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
44.9% (8,756)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
50.7% (839)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
37.9% (879)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.9% (7,644)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.2%
45.1%
P2
45.6%
43.9%
P3
46.8%
45.3%
OT
42.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |