Mark Scheifele vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 48.5%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 74.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Scheifele 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
50.3% (479)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
50.0% (28)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
30.0% (50)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.0% (672)
48.9% (270)
Away
48.8% (596)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.4%
48.7%
P2
45.1%
50.0%
P3
51.9%
47.3%
OT
58.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |