Mark Scheifele vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.0%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 66.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Scheifele 5-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
51.0% (408)
-2.9%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
0.0% (6)
+48.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
35.9% (78)
+8.5%
On power play, Scheifele has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.7% (630)
50.8% (258)
Away
43.5% (623)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.3%
51.6%
P2
46.8%
45.2%
P3
47.5%
47.6%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |