Mark Scheifele vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.2% vs 44.8%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 44.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 67.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Scheifele 2-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
3
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
4
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (943)
43.2% (695)
+1.3%
Power Play
42.2% (180)
53.8% (104)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
54.2% (24)
-10.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Scheifele is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Scheifele shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.4% (549)
48.2% (465)
Away
41.3% (617)
40.5% (358)
By Period
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.7%
40.8%
P2
44.5%
41.3%
P3
43.8%
52.1%
OT
56.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
42.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
44.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:21 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |