Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Carrick 52.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 88.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 72.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 61.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Scheifele
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Scheifele
Carrick
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
7
2
Scheifele
Carrick
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
9
Scheifele
Carrick
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
52.1% (2,513)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
61.3% (75)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
50.7% (430)
-9.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. Carrick is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Carrick
Home
48.9% (7,644)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Scheifele
Carrick
P1
48.2%
51.8%
P2
45.6%
52.2%
P3
46.8%
52.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |