Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Carrick 53.8% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 82.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 50.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Scheifele
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
55.1% (439)
-8.6%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
66.7% (3)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
49.1% (53)
+0.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Scheifele shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Carrick
Home
46.2% (571)
58.2% (225)
Away
47.7% (535)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Scheifele
Carrick
P1
51.9%
56.7%
P2
45.6%
52.8%
P3
43.9%
54.4%
Final 5 min
47.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%