Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 92.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 77.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Scheifele
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Scheifele
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Scheifele
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
53.8% (654)
-5.1%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
0.0% (2)
+53.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
63.9% (36)
-20.7%
On power play, Scheifele has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Scheifele shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Carrick
Home
50.0% (672)
50.0% (328)
Away
48.8% (596)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Scheifele
Carrick
P1
51.4%
56.7%
P2
45.1%
51.1%
P3
51.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |