Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Carrick 53.0% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 92.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 59.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 70.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Scheifele
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Scheifele
Carrick
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
5
Scheifele
Carrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
53.9% (521)
-5.8%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
57.1% (35)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
51.5% (229)
-7.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Carrick
Home
52.7% (630)
52.7% (408)
Away
43.5% (623)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Scheifele
Carrick
P1
50.3%
51.4%
P2
46.8%
56.6%
P3
47.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |