Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 47.9%). Look for Lorentz on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 71.7%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 73.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.1%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Scheifele
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Scheifele
Lorentz
Last 8: Scheifele 3-5 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Lorentz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
3
Scheifele
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
48.3% (497)
-0.5%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
63.6% (11)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
38.5% (39)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Scheifele shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Lorentz
Home
50.7% (611)
50.4% (238)
Away
45.1% (596)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Scheifele
Lorentz
P1
51.4%
49.1%
P2
47.3%
48.0%
P3
45.0%
47.2%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:09 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |