Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Lorentz 49.4% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 67.5%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 61.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Scheifele
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
48.9% (135)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
50.0% (4)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Lorentz is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Lorentz
Home
52.7% (630)
50.7% (75)
Away
43.5% (623)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Scheifele
Lorentz
P1
50.3%
60.0%
P2
46.8%
46.3%
P3
47.5%
44.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%