Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Lorentz 50.0% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 78.6%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 70.2%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Scheifele
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
52.2% (67)
-5.7%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
50.0% (2)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Lorentz is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Lorentz
Home
46.2% (571)
55.4% (65)
Away
47.7% (535)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Scheifele
Lorentz
P1
51.9%
59.3%
P2
45.6%
47.1%
P3
43.9%
44.8%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%