Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 66.1%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 74.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 55.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Scheifele
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Scheifele
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
30.8% (26)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
57.1% (7)
-13.9%
On even strength, Scheifele has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Lorentz
Home
50.0% (672)
35.0% (20)
Away
48.8% (596)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Scheifele
Lorentz
P1
51.4%
38.5%
P2
45.1%
37.5%
P3
51.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |