Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.6% vs Johnston 48.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Scheifele
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Scheifele
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Scheifele
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Scheifele
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (674)
47.2% (458)
-1.2%
Power Play
46.2% (119)
50.9% (55)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
51.6% (31)
-3.6%
On power play, Johnston has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Scheifele is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Scheifele shoots right. Johnston is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Johnston
Home
44.8% (426)
47.7% (243)
Away
47.5% (417)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Scheifele
Johnston
P1
53.4%
48.0%
P2
43.3%
48.2%
P3
42.3%
48.0%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.1%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |