Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Johnston 44.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 73.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.3%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Scheifele
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Scheifele
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Scheifele
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
42.5% (318)
+5.3%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
55.6% (9)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
62.5% (8)
-1.8%
On power play, Johnston has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Johnston
Home
50.7% (611)
40.5% (168)
Away
45.1% (596)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Scheifele
Johnston
P1
51.4%
46.9%
P2
47.3%
40.4%
P3
45.0%
41.9%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |