Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Johnston 51.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.6%
Defensive zone
Johnston 85.0%
Neutral zone
Johnston 69.5%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Scheifele
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Scheifele
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
52.6% (696)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
52.3% (88)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
42.4% (125)
+0.8%
On even strength, Johnston has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Scheifele shoots right. Johnston is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Johnston
Home
50.0% (672)
52.8% (458)
Away
48.8% (596)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Scheifele
Johnston
P1
51.4%
48.9%
P2
45.1%
52.3%
P3
51.9%
51.4%
OT
58.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |