Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Johnston 50.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 85.9%
Defensive zone
Johnston 53.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 58.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Scheifele
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Scheifele
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Scheifele
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Scheifele
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Scheifele
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
50.7% (552)
-2.6%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
61.5% (13)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
43.5% (69)
+0.9%
On power play, Johnston has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Johnston is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Johnston
Home
52.7% (630)
50.3% (342)
Away
43.5% (623)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Scheifele
Johnston
P1
50.3%
54.4%
P2
46.8%
47.2%
P3
47.5%
49.4%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |