Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Necas wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 47.6% vs Sturm 52.5% (-8.3%)
Offensive zone
Necas 82.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 83.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 55.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Necas
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (57)
54.0% (480)
-10.1%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
28.6% (7)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
50.0% (102)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Necas is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Necas shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Necas
Sturm
Home
44.9% (49)
54.0% (287)
Away
44.4% (36)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Necas
Sturm
P1
40.5%
53.5%
P2
45.5%
51.0%
P3
52.6%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
44.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%