Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Necas wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 46.0% vs Sturm 55.2% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 85.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 62.7%
Neutral zone
Necas 66.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Necas
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Necas
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Necas
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (339)
56.1% (716)
-11.6%
Power Play
47.4% (57)
67.7% (31)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
51.1% (133)
-3.5%
On power play, Sturm has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Necas shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Necas
Sturm
Home
44.8% (203)
55.6% (412)
Away
45.3% (214)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Necas
Sturm
P1
46.8%
59.6%
P2
40.0%
52.0%
P3
50.0%
55.5%
OT
37.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |