Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.8% vs McTavish 49.1% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 55.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Lowry
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
McTavish
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (660)
47.6% (615)
+8.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
57.8% (102)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
33.3% (6)
+8.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lowry is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Lowry shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Lowry
McTavish
Home
54.5% (402)
52.3% (388)
Away
54.1% (351)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Lowry
McTavish
P1
52.4%
50.2%
P2
56.3%
47.9%
P3
54.7%
49.0%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.3%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |