Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Domi 53.3% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 71.0%
Defensive zone
Domi 50.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.1%
Result
Max Domi favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
McTavish
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McTavish
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
McTavish
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
53.8% (847)
-11.4%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
52.1% (96)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
On power play, Domi has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
McTavish
Domi
Home
41.9% (372)
53.9% (445)
Away
42.8% (353)
53.5% (505)
By Period
McTavish
Domi
P1
47.2%
51.4%
P2
36.2%
55.3%
P3
43.6%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |