Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Domi 50.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 55.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 50.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 58.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
McTavish
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McTavish
Domi
Last 7: McTavish 3-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
McTavish
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
1
McTavish
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
49.7% (394)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
51.7% (58)
+4.1%
On power play, McTavish has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
McTavish
Domi
Home
52.0% (454)
53.2% (235)
Away
51.4% (391)
46.5% (217)
By Period
McTavish
Domi
P1
51.3%
54.4%
P2
50.4%
46.6%
P3
53.3%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Max Domi |