Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.2%). Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Domi 50.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 51.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 55.4%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
McTavish
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McTavish
Domi
Last 8: McTavish 3-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
3
McTavish
Domi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Domi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
49.7% (499)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
56.8% (44)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
McTavish
Domi
Home
52.3% (461)
51.0% (298)
Away
49.2% (500)
49.2% (246)
By Period
McTavish
Domi
P1
51.5%
54.8%
P2
54.0%
48.9%
P3
47.1%
46.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Max Domi |