Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.8%). Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Domi 48.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 51.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 54.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 62.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
McTavish
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
McTavish
Domi
Last 10: McTavish 3-7 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
6
McTavish
Domi
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
3
McTavish
Domi
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
2
McTavish
Domi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
48.1% (4,296)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
53.4% (633)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
48.8% (41)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
McTavish shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
McTavish
Domi
Home
49.8% (1,678)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
McTavish
Domi
P1
50.0%
48.7%
P2
47.8%
48.3%
P3
48.4%
49.8%
OT
43.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |