Mason McTavish vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 71.2%
Defensive zone
McTavish 54.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 79.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
McTavish
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McTavish
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
45.5% (1,190)
+5.8%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
56.4% (94)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
40.0% (30)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
McTavish
MacKinnon
Home
52.0% (454)
47.8% (670)
Away
51.4% (391)
44.6% (644)
By Period
McTavish
MacKinnon
P1
51.3%
45.3%
P2
50.4%
48.5%
P3
53.3%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |